IEM Cologne Major 2026 Pick'Ems Predictions
A diamond coin needs 5+ correct picks in each Swiss stage, 2 correct quarterfinals, 1 semifinal, and the grand-final winner.
Bronze 1–3 · Silver 4–7 · Gold 8–10 · Diamond all 11 challenges
Luz's Picks
GAM ✗ 
B8 ✓ 
BET ✗ 
HER ✗ 
BIG ✓ 
MIB ✓ 
M80 ✓ 
SIN ✗ 
THU ✗ 
GAI ✓ Drag a team into a slot, or pick a category and tap a team. Pick 2× 3-0, 6 advancing teams, and 2× 0-3.
marginals
Per-team probabilities across the Swiss bracket. Click a column to sort.
Luz's Picks
SPI ✓ 
FUT ✓ 
G2 ✓ 
AST ✗ 
LEG ✓ 
9Z ✓ GAM ✗ 
PAI ✗ M80 ✗ 
FLY ✓ Drag a team into a slot, or pick a category and tap a team. Pick 2× 3-0, 6 advancing teams, and 2× 0-3.
marginals
Per-team probabilities across the Swiss bracket. Click a column to sort.
Luz's Picks
VIT ✗ SPI ✓ 
FAL ✓ 
NAT ✗ 
FUR ✗ 
MON ✗ 
MOU ✗ 
AUR ✓ B8 ✓ 
MON ✗ Drag a team into a slot, or pick a category and tap a team. Pick 2× 3-0, 6 advancing teams, and 2× 0-3.
marginals
Per-team probabilities across the Swiss bracket. Click a column to sort.
playoffs bracket
9z FURIA ✓ Aurora ✓ BetBoom G2 Spirit ✓ Falcons ✓ Vitality FURIA ✓ Aurora Spirit Falcons ✓ FURIA Falcons ✓ Falcons perfect bracket — all 7 picks correct ✓ 9z 30.4% FURIA 69.6% Aurora 58.8% BetBoom 41.2% G2 23.1% Spirit 76.9% Falcons 25.3% Vitality 74.7% FURIA 43.1% Aurora 28.0% Spirit 34.6% Vitality 50.0% FURIA 9.4% Vitality 44.9% Vitality 44.9% to win it all 9z 1 FURIA 2 Aurora 2 BetBoom 0 G2 1 Spirit 2 Falcons 2 Vitality 1 FURIA 2 Aurora 0 Spirit 1 Falcons 2 FURIA 0 Falcons 3 Falcons defeated FURIA 3–0 in the grand final pre-playoff model odds
What the supercomputer projected going into the bracket. It favoured Vitality (44.9% to win it all); Falcons (7.4%) took the title instead.
| team | reach semis | reach final | champion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitality | 74.7% | 50.0% | 44.9% |
| Spirit | 76.9% | 34.6% | 28.6% |
| FURIA | 69.6% | 43.1% | 9.4% |
| Falcons | 25.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% |
| Aurora | 58.8% | 28.0% | 4.4% |
| G2 | 23.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| BetBoom | 41.2% | 16.2% | 1.7% |
| 9z | 30.4% | 12.7% | 1.2% |
pre-playoff championship odds
Vitality Spirit FURIA Falcons Aurora G2 BetBoom 9z Major Supercomputer is my Counter-Strike 2 Major Pick'Ems prediction model. It rates every team, simulates each Swiss stage and the playoffs thousands of times, and turns the results into recommended picks along with each team's chances of going 3-0, advancing, or going 0-3. It has scored a gold coin or higher on each of the last 10 Majors, and on every Major it has tracked live it has finished within 8.3% of a diamond coin.
Predictions are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees or betting advice. Past results don't predict future ones. I work for HLTV, but this is a personal project and not affiliated with Valve or any tournament organiser.
team logos via liquipedia.